UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
Saturday, April 30, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
BantamweightMISS
Marlon Vera won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Vera 37%63% Font
LEANMarket: 48% (-11.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Font)
HeavyweightMISS
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Arlovski 42%58% Collier
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +251(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Collier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Collier)
FeatherweightMISS
Joanderson Brito won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brito 33%67% Fili
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (+2.3% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -290(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Fili)
LightweightHIT
Grant Dawson won by Submission (R3)
Dawson 64%36% Gordon
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +179(favors Dawson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Gordon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Dawson)
FeatherweightHIT
Darren Elkins won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elkins 57%43% Connelly
LEANMarket: 62% (-4.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +91(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Elkins)
MiddleweightHIT
Krzysztof Jotko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jotko 60%40% Meerschaert
LEANMarket: 65% (-4.5% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Meerschaert)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Jotko)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Meerschaert)
HeavyweightHIT
Alexandr Romanov won by Submission (R1)
Romanov 79%21% Sherman
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +554(favors Romanov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.6(favors Romanov)
FlyweightHIT
Francisco Figueiredo won by Submission (R1)
Figueiredo 50%50% Lacerda
TOSS-UPMarket: 47% (+3.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +17(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Lacerda)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Figueiredo)
WelterweightMISS
Gabe Green won by KO/TKO (R2)
Green 47%53% Lainesse
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +47(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Green)
LightweightHIT
Natan Levy won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Levy 72%28% Breeden
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+6.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -55(favors Breeden)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Breeden)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Levy)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Shanna Young won by KO/TKO (R2)
Young 40%60% Mazany
LEANMarket: 36% (+4.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -28(favors Mazany)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Mazany)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.7(favors Mazany)