UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland
Saturday, July 31, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 3/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Sean Strickland won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Strickland 70%30% Hall
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Strickland)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Cheyanne Vlismas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Vlismas 51%49% Paula
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +38(favors Vlismas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Paula)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Paula)
WelterweightMISS
Jared Gooden won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gooden 49%51% Stolze
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+11.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -131(favors Stolze)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Gooden)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Stolze)
FeatherweightMISS
Melsik Baghdasaryan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Baghdasaryan 44%56% Anglin
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Anglin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Anglin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Anglin)
WelterweightMISS
Jason Witt won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Witt 33%67% Barberena
CONFIDENTMarket: 31% (+1.9% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -156(favors Barberena)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Barberena)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Witt)
LightweightMISS
Chris Gruetzemacher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gruetzemacher 25%75% Garcia
CONFIDENTMarket: 26% (-0.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +56(favors Gruetzemacher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Gruetzemacher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Garcia)
Featherweight
Chavez 64%36% Kamaka
LEAN
→Elo gap: +181(favors Chavez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Kamaka)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Kamaka)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Jinh Yu Frey won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Frey 44%56% Yoder
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +63(favors Frey)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Yoder)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Yoder)
FlyweightMISS
Zarrukh Adashev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Adashev 50%50% Benoit
TOSS-UPMarket: 44% (+5.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -122(favors Benoit)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Benoit)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Benoit)
WelterweightHIT
Phil Rowe won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rowe 61%39% Cosce
LEAN
→Elo gap: -97(favors Cosce)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Rowe)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Rowe)