UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Saturday, March 20, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Brunson 56%44% Holland
LEANMarket: 39% (+17.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +26(favors Brunson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Brunson)
WelterweightHIT
Max Griffin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Griffin 58%42% Kenan
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Kenan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Griffin)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ruiz 38%62% Vlismas
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Vlismas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Vlismas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vlismas)
BantamweightHIT
Adrian Yanez won by KO/TKO (R3)
Yanez 75%25% Lopez
STRONGMarket: 66% (+9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +39(favors Yanez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Yanez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Lopez)
HeavyweightHIT
Tai Tuivasa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tuivasa 62%38% Hunsucker
LEAN
→Elo gap: +114(favors Tuivasa)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Hunsucker)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Macy Chiasson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Chiasson 66%34% Reneau
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+0.6% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Chiasson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Chiasson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Chiasson)
LightweightHIT
Grant Dawson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Dawson 71%29% Santos
CONFIDENTMarket: 65% (+5.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -209(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Dawson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Dawson)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevin Giles won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Giles 68%32% Dolidze
CONFIDENTMarket: 44% (+23.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Giles)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Dolidze)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Dolidze)
BantamweightHIT
Montel Jackson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jackson 90%10% Strader
STRONGMarket: 85% (+5.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +144(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Jackson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Jackson)
FlyweightMISS
Bruno Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 38%62% Buys
LEAN
→Elo gap: -150(favors Buys)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Silva)