UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker
Saturday, February 22, 2020·Auckland, New Zealand
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Dan Hooker won by Decision - Split (R5)
Hooker 63%37% Felder
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Hooker)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Felder)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jimmy Crute won by Submission (R1)
Crute 43%57% Oleksiejczuk
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +3(favors Crute)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Oleksiejczuk)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Oleksiejczuk)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Yan Xiaonan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Xiaonan 73%27% Kowalkiewicz
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+2.2% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +203(favors Xiaonan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Xiaonan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Xiaonan)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcos Rogerio de Lima won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lima 58%42% Sosoli
LEANMarket: 59% (-1.9% edge)
→Elo gap: -18(favors Sosoli)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Lima)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Lima)
LightweightHIT
Brad Riddell won by Decision - Split (R3)
Riddell 66%34% Mustafaev
CONFIDENTMarket: 44% (+22.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -164(favors Mustafaev)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Riddell)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Riddell)
FeatherweightHIT
Zubaira Tukhugov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tukhugov 57%43% Aguilar
LEANMarket: 49% (+8.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Aguilar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Tukhugov)
LightweightMISS
Jalin Turner won by KO/TKO (R2)
Turner 49%51% Culibao
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Culibao)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Turner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Culibao)
WelterweightHIT
Jake Matthews won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matthews 85%15% Meek
STRONGMarket: 67% (+17.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +211(favors Matthews)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Matthews)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Matthews)
WelterweightHIT
Song Kenan won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kenan 55%45% Potter
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +139(favors Kenan)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Kenan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Potter)
FlyweightHIT
Kai Kara-France won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kara-France 78%22% Nam
STRONGMarket: 70% (+7.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +105(favors Kara-France)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Kara-France)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Kara-France)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 40%60% Lookboonmee
LEANMarket: 62% (-21.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Hill)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Lookboonmee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Lookboonmee)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Priscila Cachoeira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Cachoeira 45%55% Dobson
LEANMarket: 37% (+8.3% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -86(favors Dobson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Cachoeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Dobson)