UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
Saturday, February 8, 2020·Houston, Texas, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 78%22% Reyes
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +420(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Reyes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Jones)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Valentina Shevchenko won by KO/TKO (R3)
Shevchenko 72%28% Cerminara
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +200(favors Shevchenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Cerminara)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Shevchenko)
HeavyweightHIT
Justin Tafa won by KO/TKO (R1)
Tafa 61%39% Adams
LEAN
→Elo gap: -10(favors Adams)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Adams)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Adams)
FeatherweightHIT
Dan Ige won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ige 54%46% Bektic
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Ige)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Ige)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Bektic)
HeavyweightHIT
Derrick Lewis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lewis 57%43% Latifi
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +324(favors Lewis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Latifi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Latifi)
MiddleweightHIT
Trevin Giles won by Decision - Split (R3)
Giles 64%36% Krause
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -440(favors Krause)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Krause)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Giles)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Lauren Murphy won by Decision - Split (R3)
Murphy 40%60% Lee
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Lee)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Lee)
WelterweightMISS
Khaos Williams won by KO/TKO (R1)
Williams 46%54% Morono
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -293(favors Morono)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Morono)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morono)
BantamweightMISS
Mario Bautista won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bautista 46%54% Johns
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Johns)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Bautista)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Johns)
Bantamweight
Pilarte 58%42% Newson
LEAN
→Elo gap: +67(favors Pilarte)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Newson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Pilarte)
BantamweightMISS
Andre Ewell won by Decision - Split (R3)
Ewell 33%67% Martinez
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -137(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Martinez)
FeatherweightHIT
Youssef Zalal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Zalal 51%49% Lingo
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lingo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lingo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lingo)