UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie
Saturday, June 22, 2019·Greenville, South Carolina, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FeatherweightMISS
Chan Sung Jung won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jung 24%76% Moicano
STRONGMarket: 35% (-11.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Moicano)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Moicano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Moicano)
WelterweightMISS
Randy Brown won by KO/TKO (R3)
Brown 50%50% Barberena
TOSS-UPMarket: 31% (+19.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -116(favors Barberena)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Barberena)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Brown)
BantamweightHIT
Andre Ewell won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ewell 54%46% Santos
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +55(favors Ewell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Ewell)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Andrea Lee won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lee 56%44% Rosa
LEANMarket: 62% (-6.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -167(favors Rosa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Lee)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Lee)
MiddleweightHIT
Kevin Holland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Holland 77%23% Chirico
STRONGMarket: 67% (+10.2% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Chirico)
FeatherweightHIT
Dan Ige won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ige 52%48% Aguilar
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+8.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Aguilar)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Aguilar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Ige)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Ashley Yoder won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Yoder 34%66% Kondo
CONFIDENTMarket: 54% (-20.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -11(favors Kondo)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Kondo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Yoder)
LightweightHIT
Luis Pena won by KO/TKO (R3)
Pena 89%11% Wiman
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Wiman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Wiman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Wiman)
HeavyweightHIT
Jairzinho Rozenstruik won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rozenstruik 65%35% Crowder
LEANMarket: 67% (-2.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +215(favors Rozenstruik)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Rozenstruik)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Crowder)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Molly McCann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McCann 60%40% Silva
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +88(favors McCann)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors McCann)
MiddleweightHIT
Deron Winn won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Winn 80%20% Spicely
STRONGMarket: 75% (+4.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +238(favors Winn)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Spicely)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Spicely)