UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2
Saturday, January 31, 2026·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Featherweight✗
Alexander Volkanovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Volkanovski 42%58% Lopes
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Lopes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Volkanovski)
Lightweight✓
Benoit Saint Denis won by KO/TKO (R2)
Denis 65%35% Hooker
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Denis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Hooker)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Denis)
Lightweight✓
Mauricio Ruffy won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ruffy 51%49% Fiziev
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -272(favors Fiziev)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Fiziev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Fiziev)
Heavyweight✓
Tallison Teixeira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Teixeira 72%28% Tuivasa
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -97(favors Tuivasa)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.9(favors Teixeira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tuivasa)
Lightweight✓
Quillan Salkilld won by Submission (R1)
Salkilld 72%28% Mullarkey
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +424(favors Salkilld)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Salkilld)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Salkilld)
Light Heavyweight✓
Billy Elekana won by Submission (R2)
Elekana 58%42% Tafa
LEAN
→Elo gap: +289(favors Elekana)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Tafa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Elekana)
Middleweight✓
Cam Rowston won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rowston 58%42% Brundage
LEAN
→Elo gap: +262(favors Rowston)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Rowston)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Brundage)
Middleweight✗
Jacob Malkoun won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malkoun 39%61% Finney
LEAN
→Elo gap: +244(favors Malkoun)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Malkoun)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.7(favors Finney)
Welterweight✗
Jonathan Micallef won by Submission (R2)
Micallef 41%59% Elliott
LEAN
→Elo gap: -2(favors Elliott)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Micallef)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Elliott)
Featherweight✗
Kaan Ofli won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Ofli 40%60% Yizha
LEAN
→Elo gap: -26(favors Yizha)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Yizha)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Yizha)
Lightweight✓
Dom Mar Fan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fan 58%42% Kim
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kim)
Featherweight✓
Keiichiro Nakamura won by KO/TKO (R3)
Nakamura 58%42% Szalay
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Szalay)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Szalay)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Szalay)
Bantamweight✗
Lawrence Lui won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lui 35%65% Sulangrangbo
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Sulangrangbo)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sulangrangbo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sulangrangbo)