UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre
Saturday, November 4, 2017·New York City, New York, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Submission (R3)
St-Pierre 59%41% Bisping
LEANMarket: 51% (+7.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors St-Pierre)
BantamweightHIT
TJ Dillashaw won by KO/TKO (R2)
Dillashaw 62%38% Garbrandt
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Dillashaw)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Rose Namajunas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Namajunas 35%65% Jedrzejczyk
CONFIDENTMarket: 15% (+19.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -179(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.3(favors Jedrzejczyk)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Namajunas)
WelterweightHIT
Stephen Thompson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thompson 51%49% Masvidal
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-11.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +78(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Masvidal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Masvidal)
MiddleweightHIT
Paulo Costa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Costa 64%36% Hendricks
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -24(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Hendricks)
LightweightHIT
James Vick won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vick 70%30% Duffy
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +145(favors Vick)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Vick)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Vick)
HeavyweightMISS
Mark Godbeer won by DQ (R1)
Godbeer 23%77% Harris
STRONGMarket: 24% (-0.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -229(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Godbeer)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Harris)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ovince Saint Preux won by KO/TKO (R3)
Preux 33%67% Anderson
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +137(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Anderson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Anderson)
WelterweightHIT
Randy Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 70%30% Gall
CONFIDENTMarket: 48% (+22.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -196(favors Gall)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Gall)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Gall)
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by KO/TKO (R2)
Blaydes 75%25% Oleinik
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -228(favors Oleinik)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Blaydes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Blaydes)
BantamweightHIT
Ricardo Ramos won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ramos 69%31% Zahabi
CONFIDENTMarket: 64% (+4.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Ramos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Ramos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Zahabi)