UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2
Saturday, September 9, 2017·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Amanda Nunes won by Decision - Split (R5)
Nunes 52%48% Shevchenko
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+5.6% edge)
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +178(favors Nunes)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Nunes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Shevchenko)
WelterweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Submission (R1)
Anjos 56%44% Magny
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +102(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Magny)
FlyweightHIT
Henry Cejudo won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cejudo 85%15% Reis
STRONGMarket: 78% (+7.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Reis)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Cejudo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Reis)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Ilir Latifi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Latifi 38%62% Pedro
LEANMarket: 44% (-5.6% edge)
Submission Artist vs Knockout Artist — Submission Artist wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +6(favors Latifi)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Pedro)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Pedro)
FeatherweightHIT
Jeremy Stephens won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stephens 54%46% Melendez
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (+5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +250(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Melendez)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ketlen Vieira won by Submission (R2)
Vieira 56%44% McMann
LEANMarket: 34% (+22.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -102(favors McMann)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Vieira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McMann)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Sarah Moras won by Submission (R1)
Moras 33%67% Evans-Smith
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (+4.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -35(favors Evans-Smith)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Evans-Smith)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Evans-Smith)
FeatherweightHIT
Ricky Glenn won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Glenn 55%45% Tucker
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Tucker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tucker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Tucker)
LightweightHIT
Alex White won by KO/TKO (R2)
White 73%27% Clarke
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+6.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Clarke)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors White)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors White)
HeavyweightHIT
Arjan Bhullar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bhullar 55%45% Henrique
LEANMarket: 66% (-10.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +34(favors Bhullar)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Henrique)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Henrique)
LightweightMISS
Kajan Johnson won by KO/TKO (R3)
Johnson 21%79% Martins
STRONGMarket: 18% (+2.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -279(favors Martins)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Johnson)