UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve
Saturday, September 2, 2017·Rotterdam, Zuid-Holland, Netherlands
Model Record: 11/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Alexander Volkov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Volkov 59%41% Struve
LEANMarket: 53% (+6.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -150(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Volkov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Struve)
MiddleweightHIT
Siyar Bahadurzada won by KO/TKO (R2)
Bahadurzada 57%43% Wilkinson
LEANMarket: 57% (-0.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +146(favors Bahadurzada)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Bahadurzada)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Bahadurzada)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Marion Reneau won by KO/TKO (R3)
Reneau 74%26% Bernardo
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +103(favors Reneau)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Reneau)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Reneau)
WelterweightHIT
Leon Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 73%27% Barberena
CONFIDENTMarket: 70% (+3.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +58(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Barberena)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Edwards)
WelterweightHIT
Darren Till won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Till 72%28% Velickovic
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+6.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -5(favors Velickovic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Till)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Till)
LightweightHIT
Mairbek Taisumov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Taisumov 74%26% Silva
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: +292(favors Taisumov)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.3(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Taisumov)
LightweightHIT
Michel Prazeres won by Submission (R3)
Prazeres 68%32% Burnell
CONFIDENTMarket: 75% (-7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +274(favors Prazeres)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Prazeres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.4(favors Prazeres)
LightweightHIT
Rustam Khabilov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Khabilov 64%36% Green
LEANMarket: 71% (-6.4% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +333(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Khabilov)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Aleksandar Rakic won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rakic 53%47% Barroso
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-2.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Barroso)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Barroso)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Barroso)
FeatherweightHIT
Zabit Magomedsharipov won by Submission (R2)
Magomedsharipov 88%12% Santiago
STRONGMarket: 78% (+9.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Santiago)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Santiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Santiago)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Abdul-Kerim Edilov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Edilov 90%10% Mihajlovic
STRONGMarket: 84% (+5.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +187(favors Edilov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Mihajlovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mihajlovic)
LightweightMISS
Thibault Gouti won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gouti 46%54% Holbrook
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+8.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -178(favors Holbrook)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Gouti)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Holbrook)