UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Saturday, July 29, 2017·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light Heavyweight
Cormier 29%71% Jones
CONFIDENTMarket: 29% (-0.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -326(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Jones)
WelterweightHIT
Tyron Woodley won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Woodley 61%39% Maia
LEANMarket: 65% (-3.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Woodley)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Woodley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Maia)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Cristiane Justino won by KO/TKO (R3)
Justino 89%11% Evinger
STRONGMarket: 90% (-0.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +207(favors Justino)
→Striking volume advantage: +12.4(favors Justino)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Justino)
WelterweightHIT
Robbie Lawler won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lawler 63%37% Cerrone
LEANMarket: 59% (+4.9% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Cerrone)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Volkan Oezdemir won by KO/TKO (R1)
Oezdemir 49%51% Manuwa
TOSS-UPMarket: 38% (+11.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Manuwa)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Oezdemir)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Manuwa)
FeatherweightMISS
Ricardo Lamas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lamas 33%67% Knight
CONFIDENTMarket: 47% (-14.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors Lamas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Knight)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Knight)
Catch WeightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sterling 65%35% Barao
CONFIDENTMarket: 45% (+20.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Sterling)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Barao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Sterling)
FeatherweightMISS
Brian Ortega won by Submission (R3)
Ortega 42%58% Moicano
LEANMarket: 38% (+4.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +131(favors Ortega)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Moicano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Moicano)
FeatherweightMISS
Calvin Kattar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kattar 21%79% Fili
STRONGMarket: 23% (-2.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -168(favors Fili)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Fili)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Fili)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Aleksandra Albu won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Albu 41%59% Curran
LEAN
→Elo gap: +315(favors Albu)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Albu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.3(favors Curran)
FlyweightMISS
Jarred Brooks won by Decision - Split (R3)
Brooks 45%55% Shelton
TOSS-UPMarket: 58% (-12.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +68(favors Brooks)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Shelton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.0(favors Shelton)
LightweightHIT
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R1)
Dober 64%36% Burkman
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +174(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Dober)