UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker
Saturday, July 8, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Whittaker 69%31% Romero
CONFIDENTMarket: 52% (+16.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Romero)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Whittaker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Romero)
HeavyweightHIT
Alistair Overeem won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Overeem 66%34% Werdum
CONFIDENTMarket: 57% (+9.1% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Werdum)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Werdum)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Werdum)
HeavyweightHIT
Curtis Blaydes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Blaydes 92%8% Omielanczuk
STRONGMarket: 86% (+5.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Omielanczuk)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Blaydes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +9.5(favors Blaydes)
LightweightHIT
Anthony Pettis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pettis 67%33% Miller
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+0.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Miller)
BantamweightHIT
Rob Font won by Submission (R2)
Font 66%34% Andrade
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (-6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +100(favors Font)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Font)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Font)
HeavyweightHIT
Aleksei Oleinik won by Submission (R2)
Oleinik 54%46% Browne
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -66(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Browne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Oleinik)
WelterweightHIT
Chad Laprise won by KO/TKO (R3)
Laprise 83%17% Camozzi
STRONGMarket: 85% (-1.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +190(favors Laprise)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Laprise)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Laprise)
MiddleweightMISS
Thiago Santos won by KO/TKO (R2)
Santos 48%52% Meerschaert
TOSS-UPMarket: 60% (-11.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +45(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Santos)
WelterweightMISS
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muhammad 47%53% Mein
TOSS-UPMarket: 55% (-7.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +77(favors Muhammad)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Muhammad)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Mein)
FeatherweightHIT
Cody Stamann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Stamann 74%26% Ware
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ware)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ware)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ware)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Trevin Giles won by KO/TKO (R2)
Giles 74%26% Bochnovic
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+2.5% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Bochnovic)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Bochnovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bochnovic)