UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Saturday, June 17, 2017·Kallang, Singapore
Model Record: 10/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Holly Holm won by KO/TKO (R3)
Holm 88%12% Correia
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -87(favors Correia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Correia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Correia)
HeavyweightHIT
Marcin Tybura won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tybura 76%24% Arlovski
STRONGMarket: 68% (+8.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +40(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Tybura)
WelterweightHIT
Colby Covington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Covington 79%21% Kim
STRONGMarket: 73% (+6.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Covington)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Covington)
WelterweightHIT
Rafael Dos Anjos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Anjos 61%39% Saffiedine
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +408(favors Anjos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Anjos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Anjos)
LightweightHIT
Jon Tuck won by Submission (R1)
Tuck 75%25% Gomi
STRONGMarket: 74% (+1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +54(favors Tuck)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Gomi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Tuck)
HeavyweightHIT
Walt Harris won by KO/TKO (R1)
Harris 76%24% Asker
STRONGMarket: 74% (+2.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +56(favors Harris)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Asker)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Asker)
FeatherweightHIT
Alex Caceres won by KO/TKO (R2)
Caceres 65%35% Dy
LEANMarket: 73% (-8.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -5(favors Dy)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Caceres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Caceres)
FlyweightMISS
Yuta Sasaki won by Submission (R2)
Sasaki 34%66% Scoggins
CONFIDENTMarket: 18% (+15.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -63(favors Scoggins)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Scoggins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Scoggins)
WelterweightHIT
Li Jingliang won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jingliang 86%14% Camacho
STRONGMarket: 79% (+7.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +141(favors Jingliang)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.3(favors Jingliang)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Jingliang)
BantamweightHIT
Russell Doane won by KO/TKO (R1)
Doane 58%42% Kwak
LEANMarket: 48% (+10.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -60(favors Kwak)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Kwak)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Doane)
FlyweightMISS
Naoki Inoue won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Inoue 49%51% Tomas
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Tomas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Tomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tomas)
Women's BantamweightHIT
Lucie Pudilova won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pudilova 60%40% Kim
LEANMarket: 54% (+5.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.6(favors Pudilova)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kim)