UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Saturday, August 1, 2015·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Model Record: 8/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightHIT
Ronda Rousey won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rousey 82%18% Correia
STRONGMarket: 92% (-10.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +233(favors Rousey)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Correia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.5(favors Rousey)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Mauricio Rua won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rua 58%42% Nogueira
LEANMarket: 64% (-6.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -187(favors Nogueira)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Rua)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Rua)
LightweightHIT
Glaico Franca Moreira won by Submission (R3)
Moreira 64%36% Bruno
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Bruno)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Bruno)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bruno)
BantamweightMISS
Reginaldo Vieira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Vieira 27%73% Lopes
CONFIDENTMarket: 27% (+0.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Lopes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Lopes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Lopes)
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Struve 76%24% Nogueira
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Submission Artist — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Struve)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Struve)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Nogueira)
HeavyweightMISS
Antonio Silva won by KO/TKO (R2)
Silva 39%61% Palelei
LEANMarket: 36% (+2.8% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -93(favors Palelei)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Palelei)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Claudia Gadelha won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gadelha 85%15% Aguilar
STRONGMarket: 79% (+5.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +17(favors Gadelha)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.2(favors Gadelha)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Gadelha)
WelterweightHIT
Demian Maia won by Submission (R2)
Maia 56%44% Magny
LEANMarket: 61% (-5.2% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Magny)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Magny)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Patrick Cummins won by KO/TKO (R3)
Cummins 86%14% Cavalcante
STRONGMarket: 60% (+26.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +90(favors Cummins)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Cummins)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.2(favors Cummins)
WelterweightHIT
Warlley Alves won by Submission (R2)
Alves 71%29% Taleb
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+3.6% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -19(favors Taleb)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Taleb)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Taleb)
BantamweightMISS
Iuri Alcantara won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Alcantara 32%68% Issa
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +23(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Issa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Issa)
MiddleweightMISS
Vitor Miranda won by KO/TKO (R2)
Miranda 49%51% Hester
TOSS-UPMarket: 41% (+7.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -60(favors Hester)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.0(favors Hester)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Hester)
BantamweightMISS
Guido Cannetti won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cannetti 33%67% Viana
CONFIDENTMarket: 25% (+8.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -84(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Cannetti)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Cannetti)