The Ultimate Fighter: A Champion Will Be Crowned Finale
Friday, December 12, 2014·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's StrawweightMISS
Carla Esparza won by Submission (R3)
Esparza 36%64% Namajunas
LEANMarket: 37% (-1.1% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Namajunas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Namajunas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Namajunas)
FeatherweightMISS
Charles Oliveira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Oliveira 37%63% Stephens
LEANMarket: 45% (-7.6% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -73(favors Stephens)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Stephens)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Oliveira)
Lightweight
Noons 32%68% Cruickshank
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +7(favors Noons)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Noons)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Cruickshank)
LightweightHIT
Yancy Medeiros won by Submission (R1)
Medeiros 77%23% Proctor
STRONGMarket: 69% (+7.5% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -156(favors Proctor)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Medeiros)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Proctor)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Jessica Penne won by Decision - Split (R3)
Penne 36%64% Markos
LEANMarket: 49% (-13.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Markos)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Markos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Markos)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Felice Herrig won by Submission (R2)
Herrig 88%12% Ellis
STRONGMarket: 77% (+11.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ellis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ellis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ellis)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Heather Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 29%71% Rawlings
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-7.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rawlings)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rawlings)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rawlings)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Joanne Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 88%12% Ham
STRONGMarket: 83% (+4.7% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Ham)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Ham)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ham)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Tecia Pennington won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pennington 89%11% Magana
STRONGMarket: 83% (+5.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Magana)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Magana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Magana)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Aisling Daly won by Submission (R1)
Daly 73%27% Chambers
CONFIDENTMarket: 66% (+6.8% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Chambers)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Chambers)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Chambers)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Angela Hill won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hill 61%39% Kagan
LEANMarket: 60% (+0.1% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Kagan)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Kagan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Kagan)