UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Saturday, June 14, 2014·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Model Record: 4/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
FlyweightHIT
Demetrious Johnson won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Johnson 77%23% Bagautinov
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Johnson)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
MacDonald 74%26% Woodley
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +87(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Woodley)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ryan Bader won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bader 81%19% Cavalcante
STRONG
→Elo gap: +227(favors Bader)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Cavalcante)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors Bader)
HeavyweightMISS
Andrei Arlovski won by Decision - Split (R3)
Arlovski 36%64% Schaub
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +234(favors Arlovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Schaub)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.8(favors Schaub)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Ovince Saint Preux won by KO/TKO (R2)
Preux 63%37% Jimmo
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +84(favors Preux)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Preux)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Preux)
WelterweightMISS
Kiichi Kunimoto won by Submission (R1)
Kunimoto 42%58% Sarafian
LEAN
→Elo gap: -19(favors Sarafian)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Kunimoto)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Sarafian)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Valerie Letourneau won by Decision - Split (R3)
Letourneau 47%53% Phillips
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Phillips)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Phillips)
BantamweightMISS
Yves Jabouin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jabouin 39%61% Easton
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Easton)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Easton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Easton)
LightweightMISS
Tae Hyun Bang won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bang 47%53% Johnson
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -85(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Bang)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Johnson)
BantamweightMISS
Michinori Tanaka won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Tanaka 39%61% Delorme
LEAN
→Elo gap: -132(favors Delorme)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Delorme)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Delorme)
LightweightMISS
Jason Saggo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Saggo 35%65% Shockley
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Shockley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Shockley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Shockley)