UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Saturday, November 16, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Split (R5)
St-Pierre 72%28% Hendricks
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Hendricks)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rashad Evans won by KO/TKO (R1)
Evans 55%45% Sonnen
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Sonnen)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Sonnen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Sonnen)
WelterweightMISS
Robbie Lawler won by Decision - Split (R3)
Lawler 31%69% MacDonald
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -356(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors MacDonald)
WelterweightMISS
Tyron Woodley won by KO/TKO (R1)
Woodley 48%52% Koscheck
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -258(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Woodley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Koscheck)
FlyweightHIT
Ali Bagautinov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bagautinov 54%46% Elliott
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +38(favors Bagautinov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Elliott)
LightweightHIT
Donald Cerrone won by Submission (R2)
Cerrone 62%38% Dunham
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +22(favors Cerrone)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Dunham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Cerrone)
MiddleweightHIT
Thales Leites won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Leites 61%39% Herman
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -111(favors Herman)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Leites)
WelterweightHIT
Rick Story won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Story 65%35% Ebersole
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Ebersole)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Story)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Story)
BantamweightHIT
Erik Perez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Perez 71%29% Figueroa
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +293(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Perez)
WelterweightHIT
Jason High won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
High 60%40% Lapsley
LEAN
→Elo gap: +52(favors High)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors High)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors High)
BantamweightHIT
Sergio Pettis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pettis 64%36% Campuzano
LEAN
→Elo gap: +169(favors Pettis)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Campuzano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Campuzano)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Gian Villante won by KO/TKO (R2)
Villante 44%56% Donovan
LEAN
→Elo gap: -49(favors Donovan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Donovan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Donovan)