UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Wednesday, October 9, 2013·Barueri, Sao Paulo, Brazil
Model Record: 5/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Jake Shields won by Decision - Split (R5)
Shields 28%72% Maia
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -376(favors Maia)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Shields)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Maia)
WelterweightHIT
Dong Hyun Kim won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kim 65%35% Silva
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +46(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Kim)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Thiago Silva won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Silva 61%39% Hamill
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +81(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Hamill)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Fabio Maldonado won by Decision - Split (R3)
Maldonado 62%38% Beltran
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +164(favors Maldonado)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Maldonado)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Beltran)
WelterweightMISS
Rousimar Palhares won by Submission (R1)
Palhares 30%70% Pierce
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -413(favors Pierce)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Palhares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Pierce)
BantamweightMISS
Raphael Assuncao won by Decision - Split (R3)
Assuncao 42%58% Dillashaw
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -2(favors Dillashaw)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Dillashaw)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Dillashaw)
WelterweightMISS
Igor Araujo won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Araujo 37%63% Alcantara
LEAN
→Elo gap: -163(favors Alcantara)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Alcantara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Alcantara)
WelterweightMISS
Yan Cabral won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Cabral 41%59% Mitchell
LEAN
→Elo gap: +16(favors Cabral)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Mitchell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Mitchell)
FlyweightHIT
Chris Cariaso won by KO/TKO (R2)
Cariaso 71%29% Santos
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +147(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Cariaso)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Cariaso)
LightweightHIT
Alan Patrick won by KO/TKO (R1)
Patrick 55%45% Whiteley
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Whiteley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Whiteley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Whiteley)