UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen

Saturday, April 27, 2013·Newark, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
J
Jon Jones
Elo 2161
All-Rounder
VS
C
Chael Sonnen
Elo 1430
Wrestler
Jon Jones won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jones 82%18% Sonnen
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +349(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.4(favors Sonnen)
Full Breakdown →
MiddleweightHIT
M
Michael Bisping
Elo 1522
Striker
VS
A
Alan Belcher
Elo 1293
Knockout Artist
Michael Bisping won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bisping 56%44% Belcher
LEAN
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -47(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Bisping)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Bisping)
Full Breakdown →
HeavyweightMISS
R
Roy Nelson
Elo 1129
All-Rounder
VS
C
Cheick Kongo
Elo 1183
Striker
Roy Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 48%52% Kongo
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +96(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Kongo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Nelson)
Full Breakdown →
Light HeavyweightHIT
P
Phil Davis
Elo 1427
VS
V
Vinny Magalhaes
Elo 885
Phil Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 75%25% Magalhaes
STRONG
→Elo gap: +326(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Davis)
Full Breakdown →
Lightweight
J
Jim Miller
Elo 1213
VS
P
Pat Healy
Elo 817
Miller 51%49% Healy
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +396(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Healy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
Full Breakdown →
LightweightHIT
R
Rustam Khabilov
Elo 1389
Striker
VS
Y
Yancy Medeiros
Elo 999
Knockout Artist
Rustam Khabilov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Khabilov 75%25% Medeiros
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Khabilov)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.8(favors Khabilov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +33.3(favors Khabilov)
Full Breakdown →
Light HeavyweightMISS
O
Ovince Saint Preux
Elo 917
All-Rounder
VS
G
Gian Villante
Elo 705
Striker
Ovince Saint Preux won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Preux 41%59% Villante
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -0(favors Villante)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Villante)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Villante)
Full Breakdown →
Women's BantamweightMISS
S
Sara McMann
Elo 1158
VS
S
Sheila Gaff
Elo 790
Sara McMann won by KO/TKO (R1)
McMann 38%62% Gaff
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Gaff)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Gaff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Gaff)
Full Breakdown →
BantamweightMISS
B
Bryan Caraway
Elo 1191
VS
J
Johnny Bedford
Elo 841
Bryan Caraway won by Submission (R3)
Caraway 43%57% Bedford
LEAN
→Elo gap: -155(favors Bedford)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Bedford)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Bedford)
Full Breakdown →
FeatherweightHIT
C
Cody McKenzie
Elo 871
Wrestler
VS
L
Leonard Garcia
Elo 669
All-Rounder
Cody McKenzie won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
McKenzie 74%26% Garcia
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors McKenzie)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Garcia)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors McKenzie)
Full Breakdown →
FeatherweightHIT
S
Steven Siler
Elo 888
Wrestler
VS
K
Kurt Holobaugh
Elo 832
All-Rounder
Steven Siler won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Siler 58%42% Holobaugh
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +161(favors Siler)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.8(favors Siler)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Siler)
Full Breakdown →
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