UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Saturday, December 29, 2012·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Velasquez 51%49% Santos
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -270(favors Santos)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.1(favors Velasquez)
LightweightMISS
Jim Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 45%55% Lauzon
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -6(favors Lauzon)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Lauzon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Miller)
MiddleweightMISS
Constantinos Philippou won by KO/TKO (R3)
Philippou 48%52% Boetsch
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -145(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Philippou)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Boetsch)
MiddleweightMISS
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Okami 47%53% Belcher
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: -165(favors Belcher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Belcher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Okami)
MiddleweightHIT
Derek Brunson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brunson 60%40% Leben
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -235(favors Leben)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Leben)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Leben)
BantamweightMISS
Eddie Wineland won by Decision - Split (R3)
Wineland 49%51% Pickett
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -132(favors Pickett)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Pickett)
BantamweightHIT
Erik Perez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Perez 74%26% Bloodworth
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +356(favors Perez)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Perez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Bloodworth)
LightweightHIT
Jamie Varner won by Decision - Split (R3)
Varner 67%33% Guillard
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -43(favors Guillard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Varner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Varner)
LightweightMISS
Myles Jury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jury 49%51% Johnson
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -235(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Johnson)
HeavyweightMISS
Todd Duffee won by KO/TKO (R1)
Duffee 34%66% Fries
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -34(favors Fries)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Duffee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.0(favors Fries)
FeatherweightHIT
Max Holloway won by Decision - Split (R3)
Holloway 85%15% Garcia
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +474(favors Holloway)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Garcia)
FlyweightMISS
John Moraga won by Submission (R3)
Moraga 50%50% Cariaso
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -59(favors Cariaso)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.4(favors Moraga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Cariaso)