UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Saturday, April 21, 2012·Atlanta, Georgia, USA
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Jones 80%20% Evans
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +116(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Evans)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by KO/TKO (R2)
MacDonald 57%43% Mills
LEAN
→Elo gap: +141(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -13.8(favors Mills)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors MacDonald)
HeavyweightMISS
Ben Rothwell won by KO/TKO (R1)
Rothwell 50%50% Schaub
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -178(favors Schaub)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Schaub)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Rothwell)
BantamweightHIT
Michael McDonald won by KO/TKO (R1)
McDonald 67%33% Torres
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +134(favors McDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors McDonald)
FeatherweightMISS
Eddie Yagin won by Decision - Split (R3)
Yagin 23%77% Hominick
STRONG
→Elo gap: -116(favors Hominick)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.3(favors Hominick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Hominick)
LightweightHIT
Mark Bocek won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bocek 71%29% Alessio
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +353(favors Bocek)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Bocek)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.9(favors Bocek)
HeavyweightHIT
Travis Browne won by Submission (R1)
Browne 74%26% Griggs
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +382(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Browne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.3(favors Browne)
WelterweightMISS
Matt Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 50%50% Thompson
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -51(favors Thompson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Thompson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Brown)
LightweightHIT
Anthony Njokuani won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Njokuani 53%47% Makdessi
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -44(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Njokuani)
LightweightHIT
Mac Danzig won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Danzig 54%46% Escudero
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +92(favors Danzig)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Danzig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Danzig)
WelterweightMISS
Chris Clements won by Decision - Split (R3)
Clements 42%58% Wisniewski
LEAN
→Elo gap: +171(favors Clements)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Wisniewski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Wisniewski)
FeatherweightHIT
Marcus Brimage won by Decision - Split (R3)
Brimage 63%37% Blanco
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Brimage)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Brimage)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Brimage)