UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
Friday, January 20, 2012·Nashville, Tennessee, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Submission (R1)
Miller 58%42% Guillard
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Miller)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Neer won by Submission (R1)
Neer 57%43% Ludwig
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -56(favors Ludwig)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Ludwig)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Neer)
BantamweightHIT
Mike Easton won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Easton 58%42% Papazian
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Easton)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Easton)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Papazian)
HeavyweightMISS
Pat Barry won by KO/TKO (R1)
Barry 42%58% Morecraft
LEAN
→Elo gap: -43(favors Morecraft)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Morecraft)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Morecraft)
MiddleweightHIT
Jorge Rivera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Rivera 63%37% Schafer
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +139(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Rivera)
LightweightHIT
Khabib Nurmagomedov won by Submission (R3)
Nurmagomedov 61%39% Shalorus
LEAN
→Elo gap: +12(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Shalorus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Shalorus)
WelterweightHIT
Charlie Brenneman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brenneman 68%32% Roberts
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Brenneman)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Brenneman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Brenneman)
LightweightHIT
Fabricio Camoes won by Submission (R1)
Camoes 54%46% Hayden
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -28(favors Hayden)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Camoes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.7(favors Camoes)
FeatherweightMISS
Daniel Pineda won by Submission (R1)
Pineda 43%57% Schilling
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Schilling)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Schilling)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Schilling)
BantamweightHIT
Nick Denis won by KO/TKO (R1)
Denis 57%43% Sandoval
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Denis)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Sandoval)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sandoval)