UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
Saturday, September 24, 2011·Denver, Colorado, USA
Model Record: 10/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by Submission (R4)
Jones 86%14% Jackson
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Jones)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by KO/TKO (R1)
Koscheck 66%34% Hughes
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Koscheck)
HeavyweightHIT
Mark Hunt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hunt 53%47% Rothwell
TOSS-UP
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -46(favors Rothwell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Rothwell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Rothwell)
HeavyweightHIT
Travis Browne won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Browne 74%26% Broughton
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +237(favors Browne)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Broughton)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Browne)
LightweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by Submission (R1)
Diaz 68%32% Gomi
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -4(favors Gomi)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Diaz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Diaz)
LightweightHIT
Tony Ferguson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ferguson 80%20% Riley
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +127(favors Ferguson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Ferguson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Ferguson)
MiddleweightHIT
Tim Boetsch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Boetsch 61%39% Ring
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -30(favors Ring)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Ring)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Boetsch)
FeatherweightHIT
Junior Assuncao won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Assuncao 53%47% Yagin
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -90(favors Yagin)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.8(favors Assuncao)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Assuncao)
BantamweightHIT
Takeya Mizugaki won by KO/TKO (R2)
Mizugaki 60%40% Escovedo
LEAN
→Elo gap: +78(favors Mizugaki)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Escovedo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Mizugaki)
Light HeavyweightHIT
James Te Huna won by KO/TKO (R1)
Huna 63%37% Romero
LEAN
→Elo gap: +75(favors Huna)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Romero)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Huna)