UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Saturday, August 6, 2011·Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rashad Evans won by KO/TKO (R2)
Evans 64%36% Ortiz
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +250(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Evans)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Evans)
MiddleweightHIT
Vitor Belfort won by KO/TKO (R1)
Belfort 61%39% Akiyama
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +416(favors Belfort)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Akiyama)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.7(favors Akiyama)
WelterweightHIT
Brian Ebersole won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ebersole 66%34% Hallman
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -32(favors Hallman)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Ebersole)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Ebersole)
MiddleweightMISS
Constantinos Philippou won by Decision - Split (R3)
Philippou 44%56% Rivera
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -293(favors Rivera)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Rivera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Rivera)
WelterweightHIT
Rory MacDonald won by KO/TKO (R1)
MacDonald 51%49% Pyle
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -194(favors Pyle)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Pyle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors MacDonald)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Alexander Gustafsson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gustafsson 45%55% Hamill
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -60(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Gustafsson)
FeatherweightHIT
Chad Mendes won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mendes 57%43% Yahya
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Mendes)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Mendes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Mendes)
BantamweightMISS
Ivan Menjivar won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Menjivar 47%53% Pace
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -25(favors Pace)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Pace)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.2(favors Pace)
WelterweightHIT
Johny Hendricks won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hendricks 59%41% Pierce
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Hendricks)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Hendricks)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Hendricks)
FeatherweightMISS
Mike Brown won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brown 43%57% Phan
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Phan)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Phan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Brown)
MiddleweightHIT
Rafael Natal won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Natal 57%43% Bradley
LEAN
→Elo gap: -48(favors Bradley)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Natal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Natal)