UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Wednesday, September 15, 2010·Austin, Texas, USA
Model Record: 8/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by KO/TKO (R1)
Marquardt 63%37% Palhares
LEAN
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Palhares)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R3)
Oliveira 52%48% Escudero
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +7(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Escudero)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 57%43% Tibau
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +141(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.0(favors Tibau)
LightweightMISS
Cole Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 32%68% Pearson
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -166(favors Pearson)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Pearson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Miller)
LightweightMISS
Yves Edwards won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Edwards 30%70% Gunderson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +1(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.4(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Gunderson)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Kyle Kingsbury won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kingsbury 60%40% Hamman
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Kingsbury)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Hamman)
MiddleweightHIT
David Branch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Branch 64%36% Drwal
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -195(favors Drwal)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.4(favors Drwal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -5.9(favors Drwal)
MiddleweightHIT
Rich Attonito won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Attonito 63%37% Natal
LEAN
→Elo gap: +128(favors Attonito)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Attonito)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Attonito)
WelterweightHIT
TJ Waldburger won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Waldburger 59%41% Mitchell
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Mitchell)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Mitchell)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Mitchell)
WelterweightHIT
Brian Foster won by KO/TKO (R1)
Foster 75%25% Petz
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +122(favors Foster)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Foster)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Foster)