UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
Sunday, August 1, 2010·San Diego, California, USA
Model Record: 7/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jon Jones won by KO/TKO (R1)
Jones 81%19% Matyushenko
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Jones)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Jones)
MiddleweightHIT
Yushin Okami won by Decision - Split (R3)
Okami 70%30% Munoz
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Okami)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Munoz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Munoz)
WelterweightMISS
Jake Ellenberger won by KO/TKO (R3)
Ellenberger 41%59% Howard
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -158(favors Howard)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Ellenberger)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Howard)
LightweightMISS
Takanori Gomi won by KO/TKO (R1)
Gomi 31%69% Griffin
CONFIDENT
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -303(favors Griffin)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Griffin)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Griffin)
LightweightMISS
Jacob Volkmann won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Volkmann 39%61% Kelly
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -218(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Volkmann)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by KO/TKO (R2)
Riddle 64%36% Johnson
LEAN
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: -127(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors Riddle)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Igor Pokrajac won by Submission (R1)
Pokrajac 59%41% Irvin
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -189(favors Irvin)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Irvin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Pokrajac)
MiddleweightHIT
Brian Stann won by Submission (R3)
Stann 80%20% Massenzio
STRONG
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Stann)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Stann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.4(favors Massenzio)
LightweightHIT
Charles Oliveira won by Submission (R1)
Oliveira 53%47% Elkins
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -175(favors Elkins)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Elkins)
→Takedown rate advantage: -20.4(favors Elkins)
MiddleweightHIT
Rob Kimmons won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kimmons 59%41% Steinbeiss
LEAN
→Elo gap: +78(favors Kimmons)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Kimmons)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Kimmons)