UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Saturday, March 27, 2010·Newark, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 6/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
St-Pierre 83%17% Hardy
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +373(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.0(favors St-Pierre)
HeavyweightMISS
Shane Carwin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Carwin 49%51% Mir
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +14(favors Carwin)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Carwin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Carwin)
LightweightHIT
Kurt Pellegrino won by Submission (R2)
Pellegrino 58%42% Camoes
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +338(favors Pellegrino)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Pellegrino)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Camoes)
WelterweightMISS
Jon Fitch won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fitch 48%52% Saunders
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +159(favors Fitch)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Fitch)
LightweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Miller 70%30% Bocek
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +144(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Bocek)
WelterweightHIT
Nate Diaz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Diaz 83%17% Markham
STRONG
→Elo gap: +267(favors Diaz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Markham)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Diaz)
WelterweightHIT
Ricardo Almeida won by Submission (R2)
Almeida 60%40% Brown
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -105(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.7(favors Almeida)
MiddleweightMISS
Rousimar Palhares won by Submission (R1)
Palhares 47%53% Drwal
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -97(favors Drwal)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.9(favors Drwal)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.0(favors Drwal)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jared Hamman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hamman 49%51% Wallace
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -52(favors Wallace)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.8(favors Hamman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -7.0(favors Wallace)
WelterweightHIT
Matthew Riddle won by DQ (R3)
Riddle 70%30% Soto
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +145(favors Riddle)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Riddle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Riddle)