UFC 99: The Comeback
Saturday, June 13, 2009·Cologne, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany
Model Record: 8/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Catch WeightHIT
Rich Franklin won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Franklin 67%33% Silva
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +291(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Franklin)
HeavyweightHIT
Cain Velasquez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Velasquez 66%34% Kongo
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -76(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: +7.9(favors Velasquez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Kongo)
HeavyweightHIT
Mirko Filipovic won by KO/TKO (R1)
Filipovic 64%36% Al-Turk
LEAN
→Elo gap: +69(favors Filipovic)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Filipovic)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Filipovic)
WelterweightMISS
Mike Swick won by KO/TKO (R2)
Swick 45%55% Saunders
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +268(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Saunders)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Swick)
LightweightMISS
Spencer Fisher won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Fisher 50%50% Uno
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +259(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Uno)
WelterweightHIT
Dan Hardy won by Decision - Split (R3)
Hardy 58%42% Davis
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -172(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Hardy)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Davis)
LightweightHIT
Terry Etim won by Submission (R2)
Etim 74%26% Buchholz
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +89(favors Etim)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Etim)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Etim)
LightweightMISS
Dennis Siver won by Submission (R1)
Siver 41%59% Hartt
LEAN
→Elo gap: -53(favors Hartt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Siver)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Siver)
WelterweightMISS
Paul Taylor won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Taylor 41%59% Sobotta
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -23(favors Sobotta)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.5(favors Taylor)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Taylor)
LightweightHIT
Paul Kelly won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Kelly 53%47% Delgado
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +46(favors Kelly)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Kelly)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Kelly)
HeavyweightHIT
Stefan Struve won by Submission (R2)
Struve 62%38% Stojnic
LEAN
→Elo gap: -9(favors Stojnic)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Stojnic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Stojnic)
WelterweightHIT
John Hathaway won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hathaway 77%23% Story
STRONG
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +128(favors Hathaway)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Hathaway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +16.3(favors Hathaway)