UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine
Saturday, March 7, 2009·Columbus, Ohio, USA
Model Record: 9/10Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Quinton Jackson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jackson 63%37% Jardine
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +235(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Jardine)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Jardine)
HeavyweightHIT
Shane Carwin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Carwin 67%33% Gonzaga
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Carwin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.1(favors Carwin)
WelterweightHIT
Matt Brown won by KO/TKO (R1)
Brown 58%42% Sell
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +231(favors Brown)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Brown)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Brown)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Matt Hamill won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hamill 68%32% Munoz
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +257(favors Hamill)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.9(favors Hamill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.1(favors Hamill)
LightweightHIT
Gray Maynard won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maynard 57%43% Miller
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +135(favors Maynard)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Miller)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Maynard)
WelterweightHIT
Tamdan McCrory won by KO/TKO (R1)
McCrory 75%25% Madigan
STRONG
→Elo gap: -6(favors Madigan)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors McCrory)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.6(favors McCrory)
MiddleweightHIT
Kendall Grove won by KO/TKO (R1)
Grove 53%47% Day
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -159(favors Day)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Day)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Grove)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jason Brilz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brilz 39%61% Boetsch
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -52(favors Boetsch)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Boetsch)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Brilz)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Brandon Vera won by KO/TKO (R2)
Vera 79%21% Patt
STRONG
→Elo gap: +216(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.0(favors Patt)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Vera)
LightweightHIT
Shane Nelson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nelson 67%33% Riley
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +116(favors Nelson)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Riley)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Nelson)