UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Saturday, July 27, 2024·Manchester, England, United Kingdom
Model Record: 9/14Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightMISS
Belal Muhammad won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Muhammad 28%72% Edwards
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -204(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Muhammad)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Muhammad)
HeavyweightHIT
Tom Aspinall won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aspinall 70%30% Blaydes
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +108(favors Aspinall)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Aspinall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Aspinall)
LightweightMISS
Paddy Pimblett won by Submission (R1)
Pimblett 46%54% Green
TOSS-UP
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -16(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.6(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Pimblett)
MiddleweightHIT
Gregory Rodrigues won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rodrigues 60%40% Duncan
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +148(favors Rodrigues)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Rodrigues)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Rodrigues)
FeatherweightMISS
Arnold Allen won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Allen 47%53% Chikadze
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Chikadze)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Chikadze)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Allen)
FeatherweightHIT
Nathaniel Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 69%31% Pineda
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +91(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Wood)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Pineda)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Bruna Brasil won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Brasil 56%44% McCann
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -112(favors McCann)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors McCann)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors McCann)
BantamweightMISS
Jake Hadley won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hadley 50%50% Loughran
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -84(favors Loughran)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Loughran)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Loughran)
FlyweightHIT
Muhammad Mokaev won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mokaev 73%27% Kape
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Mokaev)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Kape)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Mokaev)
WelterweightHIT
Oban Elliott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Elliott 62%38% Parsons
LEAN
→Elo gap: -23(favors Parsons)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Elliott)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Parsons)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by Submission (R3)
Bukauskas 53%47% Prachnio
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Prachnio)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Prachnio)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Prachnio)
WelterweightHIT
Sam Patterson won by Submission (R1)
Patterson 56%44% Crosbie
LEAN
→Elo gap: +102(favors Patterson)
→Striking volume advantage: -6.0(favors Crosbie)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Patterson)
HeavyweightHIT
Mick Parkin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Parkin 77%23% Brzeski
STRONG
→Elo gap: +322(favors Parkin)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Parkin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Parkin)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Shauna Bannon won by Decision - Split (R3)
Bannon 44%56% Ardelean
LEAN
→Elo gap: -121(favors Ardelean)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Bannon)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Ardelean)