UFC 84: Ill Will
Saturday, May 24, 2008·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
BJ Penn won by KO/TKO (R3)
Penn 71%29% Sherk
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +112(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Sherk)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Wanderlei Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 43%57% Jardine
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: -191(favors Jardine)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Jardine)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Jardine)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Goran Reljic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Reljic 51%49% Gouveia
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -354(favors Gouveia)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Gouveia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Gouveia)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Lyoto Machida won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Machida 71%29% Ortiz
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -176(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Machida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.2(favors Ortiz)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Thiago Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 69%31% Mendes
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +374(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.2(favors Silva)
MiddleweightMISS
Rousimar Palhares won by Submission (R1)
Palhares 45%55% Salaverry
LEAN
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +24(favors Palhares)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Salaverry)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Salaverry)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sokoudjou 69%31% Nakamura
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -3(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Nakamura)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Sokoudjou)
LightweightHIT
Rich Clementi won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clementi 60%40% Etim
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +198(favors Clementi)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Clementi)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Clementi)
WelterweightMISS
Yoshiyuki Yoshida won by Submission (R1)
Yoshida 28%72% Machine
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -128(favors Machine)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.4(favors Machine)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Machine)
WelterweightMISS
Dong Hyun Kim won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kim 49%51% Tan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +58(favors Kim)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.8(favors Tan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tan)
HeavyweightMISS
Shane Carwin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Carwin 48%52% Wellisch
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -112(favors Wellisch)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Wellisch)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Wellisch)