UFC 73: Stacked
Saturday, July 7, 2007·Sacramento, California, USA
Model Record: 6/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
LightweightHIT
Kenny Florian won by KO/TKO (R1)
Florian 72%28% Robinson
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +205(favors Florian)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Florian)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Florian)
MiddleweightHIT
Anderson Silva won by KO/TKO (R1)
Silva 65%35% Marquardt
LEAN
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +168(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.2(favors Marquardt)
Light Heavyweight
Evans 63%37% Ortiz
LEAN
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Evans)
LightweightHIT
Sean Sherk won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Sherk 54%46% Franca
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -72(favors Franca)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Franca)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Franca)
HeavyweightMISS
Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nogueira 39%61% Herring
LEAN
→Elo gap: -14(favors Herring)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Herring)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Herring)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Stephan Bonnar won by Submission (R1)
Bonnar 41%59% Nickels
LEAN
→Elo gap: -50(favors Nickels)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.9(favors Nickels)
→Takedown rate advantage: -12.8(favors Nickels)
LightweightHIT
Jorge Gurgel won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gurgel 54%46% Saraiva
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +126(favors Gurgel)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Gurgel)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.5(favors Saraiva)
WelterweightHIT
Chris Lytle won by Submission (R1)
Lytle 75%25% Gilliam
STRONG
→Elo gap: -22(favors Gilliam)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Lytle)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Lytle)
LightweightHIT
Frankie Edgar won by KO/TKO (R1)
Edgar 76%24% Bocek
STRONG
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +111(favors Edgar)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.7(favors Edgar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.0(favors Edgar)