UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Thursday, January 25, 2007·Hollywood, Florida, USA
Model Record: 7/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Rashad Evans won by KO/TKO (R2)
Evans 84%16% Salmon
STRONG
→Elo gap: +364(favors Evans)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.2(favors Evans)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.9(favors Evans)
HeavyweightHIT
Jake O'Brien won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
O'Brien 72%28% Herring
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +183(favors O'Brien)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors O'Brien)
→Takedown rate advantage: +9.3(favors O'Brien)
LightweightHIT
Hermes Franca won by KO/TKO (R2)
Franca 59%41% Fisher
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Franca)
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marquardt 62%38% Lister
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +39(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Lister)
WelterweightHIT
Joshua Burkman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burkman 78%22% Reiner
STRONG
→Elo gap: +197(favors Burkman)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.4(favors Burkman)
MiddleweightHIT
Ed Herman won by Submission (R1)
Herman 62%38% Price
LEAN
→Elo gap: -72(favors Price)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Herman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.1(favors Herman)
LightweightMISS
Din Thomas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thomas 49%51% Guida
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +4(favors Thomas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Guida)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Guida)
WelterweightHIT
Rich Clementi won by Submission (R2)
Clementi 52%48% Pointon
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -56(favors Pointon)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.1(favors Pointon)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Clementi)