UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
Wednesday, December 13, 2006·San Diego, California, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sanchez 66%34% Riggs
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +235(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Sanchez)
WelterweightHIT
Josh Koscheck won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Koscheck 83%17% Joslin
STRONG
→Elo gap: +255(favors Koscheck)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Koscheck)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.4(favors Koscheck)
WelterweightHIT
Karo Parisyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Parisyan 73%27% Fickett
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +83(favors Parisyan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Parisyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.8(favors Parisyan)
WelterweightHIT
Marcus Davis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Davis 70%30% Carter
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Davis)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.3(favors Carter)
Light HeavyweightHIT
David Heath won by Decision - Split (R3)
Heath 68%32% Valimaki
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +111(favors Heath)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Heath)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.9(favors Heath)
MiddleweightHIT
Alan Belcher won by KO/TKO (R3)
Belcher 53%47% Santiago
TOSS-UP
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -53(favors Santiago)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.4(favors Santiago)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Santiago)
WelterweightHIT
Luigi Fioravanti won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fioravanti 69%31% Menne
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +245(favors Fioravanti)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Menne)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Fioravanti)
WelterweightMISS
Brock Larson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Larson 35%65% Nakamura
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -85(favors Nakamura)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Larson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Larson)
MiddleweightHIT
Logan Clark won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Clark 55%45% Byrnes
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Byrnes)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Byrnes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Byrnes)