UFC 61: Bitter Rivals
Saturday, July 8, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Tim Sylvia won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Sylvia 66%34% Arlovski
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Sylvia)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Arlovski)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Sylvia)
WelterweightHIT
Joshua Burkman won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Burkman 55%45% Neer
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Neer)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Burkman)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors Burkman)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Tito Ortiz won by KO/TKO (R1)
Ortiz 83%17% Shamrock
STRONG
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +213(favors Ortiz)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Ortiz)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ortiz)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Mir 81%19% Christison
STRONG
→Elo gap: +88(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.3(favors Christison)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.0(favors Mir)
LightweightHIT
Joe Stevenson won by KO/TKO (R2)
Stevenson 54%46% Edwards
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -213(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.2(favors Stevenson)
Catch WeightHIT
Hermes Franca won by Submission (R3)
Franca 68%32% Jordan
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +90(favors Franca)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Franca)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Franca)
HeavyweightHIT
Jeff Monson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Monson 66%34% Perosh
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +207(favors Monson)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Monson)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Monson)
HeavyweightMISS
Cheick Kongo won by KO/TKO (R1)
Kongo 43%57% Aldana
LEAN
→Elo gap: +66(favors Kongo)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.8(favors Aldana)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Aldana)
WelterweightHIT
Drew Fickett won by Submission (R3)
Fickett 51%49% Pellegrino
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +79(favors Fickett)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.5(favors Fickett)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Fickett)