UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie
Saturday, May 27, 2006·Los Angeles, California, USA
Model Record: 7/9Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Catch WeightHIT
Matt Hughes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Hughes 77%23% Gracie
STRONG
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +107(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Hughes)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Dean Lister won by Submission (R1)
Lister 33%67% Sakara
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -62(favors Sakara)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.8(favors Sakara)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.7(favors Sakara)
WelterweightHIT
Diego Sanchez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sanchez 71%29% Alessio
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +339(favors Sanchez)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Sanchez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +5.5(favors Sanchez)
HeavyweightHIT
Brandon Vera won by Submission (R1)
Vera 76%24% Silva
STRONG
→Elo gap: +237(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Vera)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Silva)
MiddleweightMISS
Mike Swick won by Submission (R1)
Swick 50%50% Riggs
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +15(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.7(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.9(favors Riggs)
MiddleweightHIT
Jeremy Horn won by Submission (R2)
Horn 56%44% Sonnen
LEAN
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +125(favors Horn)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.1(favors Horn)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.6(favors Sonnen)
LightweightHIT
Spencer Fisher won by KO/TKO (R2)
Fisher 58%42% Wiman
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +74(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Fisher)
HeavyweightHIT
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R2)
Gonzaga 79%21% Scherner
STRONG
→Elo gap: +234(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Gonzaga)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Gonzaga)
LightweightHIT
Melvin Guillard won by KO/TKO (R1)
Guillard 83%17% Davis
STRONG
→Elo gap: -54(favors Davis)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Guillard)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Guillard)