UFC 58: USA vs Canada
Saturday, March 4, 2006·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Franklin 64%36% Loiseau
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +243(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors Franklin)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.7(favors Franklin)
MiddleweightHIT
Mike Swick won by Submission (R1)
Swick 78%22% Vigneault
STRONG
→Elo gap: +176(favors Swick)
→Striking volume advantage: +20.0(favors Swick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vigneault)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by Decision - Split (R3)
St-Pierre 73%27% Penn
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs All-Rounder — Submission Artist wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: -77(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.6(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.9(favors St-Pierre)
MiddleweightHIT
Nate Marquardt won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Marquardt 69%31% Doerksen
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Marquardt)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Marquardt)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.3(favors Doerksen)
LightweightMISS
Mark Hominick won by Submission (R2)
Hominick 44%56% Edwards
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -404(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Edwards)
LightweightHIT
Sam Stout won by Decision - Split (R3)
Stout 50%50% Fisher
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -173(favors Fisher)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Fisher)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Fisher)
Light HeavyweightMISS
Jason Lambert won by Submission (R1)
Lambert 39%61% MacDonald
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors MacDonald)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors MacDonald)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors MacDonald)
HeavyweightMISS
Tom Murphy won by KO/TKO (R3)
Murphy 39%61% Larenas
LEAN
→Elo gap: -0(favors Larenas)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Larenas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Larenas)