UFC 56: Full Force
Saturday, November 19, 2005·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/8Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Rich Franklin won by KO/TKO (R1)
Franklin 66%34% Quarry
CONFIDENT
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +248(favors Franklin)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.7(favors Quarry)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Franklin)
HeavyweightMISS
Gabriel Gonzaga won by KO/TKO (R3)
Gonzaga 50%50% Jordan
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +57(favors Gonzaga)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.5(favors Jordan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Jordan)
WelterweightMISS
Matt Hughes won by Submission (R1)
Hughes 29%71% Riggs
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +318(favors Hughes)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Riggs)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Riggs)
WelterweightHIT
Georges St-Pierre won by KO/TKO (R2)
St-Pierre 80%20% Sherk
STRONG
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors St-Pierre)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors St-Pierre)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors St-Pierre)
MiddleweightHIT
Jeremy Horn won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Horn 55%45% Prangley
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -80(favors Prangley)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Prangley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.5(favors Prangley)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Sam Hoger won by Submission (R2)
Hoger 72%28% Newton
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -39(favors Newton)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Hoger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Hoger)
WelterweightHIT
Thiago Alves won by KO/TKO (R1)
Alves 63%37% Chalangov
LEAN
→Elo gap: -111(favors Chalangov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.0(favors Alves)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.6(favors Alves)
WelterweightMISS
Nick Thompson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Thompson 47%53% Wisniewski
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: -0(favors Wisniewski)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Wisniewski)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Wisniewski)