UFC 41: Onslaught
Friday, February 28, 2003·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA
Model Record: 6/7Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Tim Sylvia won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sylvia 39%61% Rodriguez
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -369(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: +18.1(favors Sylvia)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.9(favors Rodriguez)
HeavyweightHIT
Frank Mir won by Submission (R1)
Mir 67%33% Abbott
CONFIDENT
Submission Artist vs Submission Artist — Submission Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +36(favors Mir)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Mir)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Mir)
Lightweight
Penn 72%28% Uno
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +173(favors Penn)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Penn)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Penn)
MiddleweightHIT
Matt Lindland won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Lindland 58%42% Baroni
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +80(favors Lindland)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Baroni)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Lindland)
HeavyweightHIT
Vladimir Matyushenko won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Matyushenko 55%45% Rizzo
TOSS-UP
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +68(favors Matyushenko)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.6(favors Rizzo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Matyushenko)
LightweightHIT
Din Thomas won by Decision - Split (R3)
Thomas 63%37% Serra
LEAN
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -125(favors Serra)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Thomas)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Thomas)
HeavyweightHIT
Gan McGee won by KO/TKO (R1)
McGee 65%35% Dantas
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: +240(favors McGee)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.7(favors McGee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Dantas)
LightweightHIT
Yves Edwards won by Submission (R3)
Edwards 58%42% Clementi
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +29(favors Edwards)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Edwards)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Edwards)