UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill
Saturday, April 13, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 10/13Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Alex Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 62%38% Hill
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +140(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.2(favors Hill)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Pereira)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Zhang Weili won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Weili 58%42% Xiaonan
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +201(favors Weili)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Weili)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Weili)
LightweightHIT
Max Holloway won by KO/TKO (R5)
Holloway 60%40% Gaethje
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Gaethje)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.5(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Holloway)
LightweightHIT
Arman Tsarukyan won by Decision - Split (R3)
Tsarukyan 57%43% Oliveira
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -268(favors Oliveira)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.2(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.0(favors Tsarukyan)
MiddleweightHIT
Bo Nickal won by Submission (R2)
Nickal 58%42% Brundage
LEAN
Wrestler vs Submission Artist — Wrestler wins 56% historically
→Elo gap: +156(favors Nickal)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.2(favors Nickal)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Nickal)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Jiri Prochazka won by KO/TKO (R2)
Prochazka 51%49% Rakic
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: +61(favors Prochazka)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Prochazka)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.1(favors Prochazka)
FeatherweightHIT
Aljamain Sterling won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Sterling 70%30% Kattar
CONFIDENT
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +278(favors Sterling)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Kattar)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.7(favors Sterling)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Kayla Harrison won by Submission (R2)
Harrison 45%55% Holm
LEAN
→Elo gap: -317(favors Holm)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Holm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Holm)
FeatherweightMISS
Diego Lopes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Lopes 29%71% Yusuff
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -29(favors Yusuff)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Yusuff)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Yusuff)
LightweightMISS
Renato Moicano won by KO/TKO (R2)
Moicano 50%50% Turner
TOSS-UP
Wrestler vs Knockout Artist — Wrestler wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -82(favors Turner)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.8(favors Turner)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Moicano)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Jessica Andrade won by Decision - Split (R3)
Andrade 62%38% Rodriguez
LEAN
Knockout Artist vs Knockout Artist — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +98(favors Andrade)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.7(favors Andrade)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Andrade)
LightweightHIT
King Green won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Green 59%41% Miller
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +65(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.1(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Miller)
BantamweightHIT
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Submission (R2)
Figueiredo 58%42% Garbrandt
LEAN
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +326(favors Figueiredo)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Figueiredo)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Figueiredo)