UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa
Saturday, May 16, 2026·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%Upcoming
Featherweight
3.5Strikes/Min4.4
42%Str Acc50%
60%Str Def55%
48%TD Acc41%
Allen 43%57% Costa
Over/UnderOver 60%
Under 40%Over 60%
LEAN
Brawler vs Brawler — Brawler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -11(favors Costa)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Costa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Costa)