UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier
Saturday, June 17, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 7/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightMISS
Jared Cannonier won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Cannonier 47%53% Vettori
TOSS-UPMarket: 45% (+1.9% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +109(favors Cannonier)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.3(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.1(favors Vettori)
LightweightHIT
Arman Tsarukyan won by KO/TKO (R3)
Tsarukyan 92%8% Silva
STRONGMarket: 90% (+1.9% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 46% historically
→Elo gap: +476(favors Tsarukyan)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.3(favors Tsarukyan)
MiddleweightMISS
Armen Petrosyan won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Petrosyan 42%58% Duncan
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -57(favors Duncan)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Petrosyan)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Duncan)
FeatherweightHIT
Pat Sabatini won by Submission (R2)
Sabatini 54%46% Almeida
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-8.6% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -18(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.8(favors Sabatini)
LightweightHIT
Manuel Torres won by KO/TKO (R1)
Torres 59%41% Motta
LEANMarket: 64% (-4.8% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Striker — Knockout Artist wins 54% historically
→Elo gap: +17(favors Torres)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.7(favors Torres)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Motta)
WelterweightMISS
Nicolas Dalby won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Dalby 39%61% Salikhov
LEANMarket: 38% (+1.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -119(favors Salikhov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Dalby)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Salikhov)
FlyweightHIT
Alessandro Costa won by KO/TKO (R2)
Costa 70%30% Flick
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-2.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +0(favors Costa)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Flick)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.9(favors Flick)
BantamweightMISS
Kyung Ho Kang won by Submission (R1)
Kang 49%51% Quinonez
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +120(favors Kang)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.1(favors Quinonez)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Kang)
FlyweightHIT
Carlos Hernandez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hernandez 51%49% Bondar
TOSS-UPMarket: 42% (+9.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +101(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -9.3(favors Bondar)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Tereza Bleda won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bleda 69%31% Fernandes
CONFIDENTMarket: 68% (+0.6% edge)
→Elo gap: +0(favors Bleda)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.2(favors Fernandes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Bleda)
Bantamweight
Argueta 32%68% Lawrence
CONFIDENTMarket: 36% (-3.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -220(favors Lawrence)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Lawrence)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.8(favors Lawrence)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Bukauskas 60%40% Pauga
LEANMarket: 64% (-4.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +18(favors Bukauskas)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Pauga)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Pauga)