UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen
Saturday, October 18, 2025·Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada·13 fights
Model: 7/13(54%)
Full Preview & Analysis →✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✗✗
Main Card
MiddleweightMISS
Brendan Allen won by KO/TKO (R4)
Allen 30%70% Ridder
Over/UnderOver 72%
Under 28%Over 72%
CONFIDENTMarket: 34% (-4.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -140(favors Ridder)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Allen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Ridder)
WelterweightHIT
Mike Malott won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Malott 55%45% Holland
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
TOSS-UPMarket: 50% (+4.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Holland)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Holland)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.6(favors Malott)
BantamweightHIT
Aiemann Zahabi won by Decision - Split (R3)
Zahabi 57%43% Vera
Over/UnderOver 58%
Under 42%Over 58%
LEANMarket: 55% (+1.6% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -45(favors Vera)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Zahabi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Vera)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Manon Fiorot won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fiorot 63%37% Jasudavicius
Over/UnderOver 59%
Under 41%Over 59%
LEANMarket: 67% (-3.9% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +121(favors Fiorot)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Fiorot)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.5(favors Jasudavicius)
BantamweightHIT
Charles Jourdain won by Submission (R1)
Jourdain 64%36% Grant
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
LEANMarket: 62% (+2.5% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 58% historically
→Elo gap: -172(favors Grant)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Grant)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Jourdain)
LightweightHIT
Kyle Nelson won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Nelson 51%49% Frevola
Over/UnderOver 54%
Under 46%Over 54%
TOSS-UPMarket: 52% (-0.7% edge)
Striker vs Knockout Artist — Striker wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -14(favors Frevola)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.6(favors Frevola)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Frevola)
Prelims
LightweightHIT
Drew Dober won by KO/TKO (R3)
Dober 73%27% Prepolec
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
CONFIDENTMarket: 73% (-0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +373(favors Dober)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Dober)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.4(favors Dober)
BantamweightMISS
Aoriqileng won by KO/TKO (R1)
Aoriqileng 42%58% Gibson
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 37% (+5.6% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +71(favors Aoriqileng)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.9(favors Gibson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.8(favors Gibson)
FlyweightMISS
Bruno Silva won by Submission (R3)
Silva 36%64% Park
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEAN
→Elo gap: -67(favors Park)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.5(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Park)
MiddleweightMISS
Djorden Santos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Santos 23%77% Barlow
Over/UnderUnder 54%
Under 54%Over 46%
STRONGMarket: 31% (-8.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -140(favors Barlow)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Santos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Santos)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Stephanie Luciano won by Submission (R3)
Luciano 73%27% Oliveira
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+1.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +131(favors Luciano)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.1(favors Luciano)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Oliveira)
MiddleweightMISS
Yousri Belgaroui won by KO/TKO (R3)
Belgaroui 16%84% Bekoev
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
STRONGMarket: 28% (-11.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -414(favors Bekoev)
→Striking volume advantage: -7.6(favors Bekoev)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.6(favors Bekoev)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Melissa Croden won by KO/TKO (R3)
Croden 41%59% Lisboa
Over/UnderOver 65%
Under 35%Over 65%
LEANMarket: 54% (-13.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +29(favors Croden)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Lisboa)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Lisboa)