UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Saturday, January 14, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 5/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightMISS
Sean Strickland won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Strickland 36%64% Imavov
LEANMarket: 45% (-8.1% edge)
All-Rounder vs Knockout Artist — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -7(favors Imavov)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.3(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Imavov)
FeatherweightMISS
Dan Ige won by KO/TKO (R2)
Ige 44%56% Jackson
LEANMarket: 55% (-11.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Jackson)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Ige)
→Takedown rate advantage: -3.6(favors Jackson)
MiddleweightHIT
Roman Kopylov won by KO/TKO (R2)
Kopylov 53%47% Soriano
TOSS-UPMarket: 43% (+10.1% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -100(favors Soriano)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Soriano)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.0(favors Kopylov)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Raquel Pennington won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pennington 43%57% Vieira
LEANMarket: 44% (-1.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +93(favors Pennington)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.7(favors Pennington)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.4(favors Vieira)
BantamweightHIT
Umar Nurmagomedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Nurmagomedov 93%7% Barcelos
STRONGMarket: 88% (+4.8% edge)
Wrestler vs All-Rounder — Wrestler wins 59% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.5(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.6(favors Nurmagomedov)
BantamweightHIT
Javid Basharat won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Basharat 84%16% Mendonca
STRONGMarket: 76% (+7.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +201(favors Basharat)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.6(favors Basharat)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Basharat)
MiddleweightMISS
Abdul Razak Alhassan won by KO/TKO (R2)
Alhassan 42%58% Ribeiro
LEANMarket: 51% (-9.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +61(favors Alhassan)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.0(favors Alhassan)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Alhassan)
LightweightMISS
Mateusz Rebecki won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Rebecki 35%65% Fiore
CONFIDENT
→Elo gap: -0(favors Fiore)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Fiore)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Fiore)
FlyweightHIT
Allan Nascimento won by Submission (R1)
Nascimento 71%29% Hernandez
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -25(favors Hernandez)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.1(favors Hernandez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.0(favors Hernandez)
FeatherweightMISS
Dan Argueta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Argueta 44%56% Aguirre
LEAN
→Elo gap: -42(favors Aguirre)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Argueta)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Argueta)
FlyweightHIT
Charles Johnson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Johnson 77%23% Flick
STRONGMarket: 75% (+1.6% edge)
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: -126(favors Flick)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.4(favors Johnson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Flick)