UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba
Saturday, November 19, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 9/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Light HeavyweightHIT
Kennedy Nzechukwu won by KO/TKO (R2)
Nzechukwu 68%32% Cutelaba
CONFIDENTMarket: 63% (+5.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Nzechukwu)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Nzechukwu)
→Takedown rate advantage: -6.1(favors Cutelaba)
HeavyweightHIT
Waldo Cortes Acosta won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Acosta 79%21% Sherman
STRONGMarket: 68% (+10.9% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +104(favors Acosta)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.5(favors Sherman)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Sherman)
WelterweightHIT
Muslim Salikhov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Salikhov 59%41% Fialho
LEANMarket: 51% (+8.6% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +214(favors Salikhov)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Fialho)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.5(favors Salikhov)
WelterweightHIT
Jack Della Maddalena won by KO/TKO (R1)
Maddalena 82%18% Roberts
STRONGMarket: 89% (-6.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +154(favors Maddalena)
→Striking volume advantage: +8.6(favors Maddalena)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.6(favors Roberts)
FlyweightHIT
Charles Johnson won by Decision - Split (R3)
Johnson 66%34% Zhumagulov
CONFIDENTMarket: 61% (+5.3% edge)
Striker vs Wrestler — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Johnson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.2(favors Zhumagulov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.5(favors Zhumagulov)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Jennifer Maia won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Maia 38%62% Moroz
LEANMarket: 39% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -98(favors Moroz)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Moroz)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Moroz)
BantamweightHIT
Miles Johns won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Johns 58%42% Morales
LEAN
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -17(favors Morales)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Morales)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
BantamweightHIT
Ricky Turcios won by Decision - Split (R3)
Turcios 61%39% Natividad
LEANMarket: 63% (-2.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +185(favors Turcios)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.6(favors Turcios)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.0(favors Turcios)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Vanessa Demopoulos won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Demopoulos 43%57% Oliveira
LEANMarket: 50% (-7.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +128(favors Demopoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Oliveira)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Oliveira)
BantamweightHIT
Brady Hiestand won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Hiestand 51%49% Garcia
TOSS-UP
→Elo gap: +56(favors Hiestand)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Hiestand)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.0(favors Hiestand)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Natalia Silva won by KO/TKO (R3)
Silva 77%23% Bleda
STRONG
→Elo gap: +105(favors Silva)
→Striking volume advantage: +6.4(favors Silva)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.0(favors Silva)