UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
Saturday, September 3, 2022·Paris, Ile-de-France, France
Model Record: 9/12Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightHIT
Ciryl Gane won by KO/TKO (R3)
Gane 82%18% Tuivasa
STRONGMarket: 81% (+0.8% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +188(favors Gane)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Tuivasa)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.5(favors Gane)
MiddleweightHIT
Robert Whittaker won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Whittaker 62%38% Vettori
LEANMarket: 66% (-3.5% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Whittaker)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Vettori)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.1(favors Vettori)
MiddleweightHIT
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Imavov 72%28% Buckley
CONFIDENTMarket: 69% (+3.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +95(favors Imavov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.6(favors Imavov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Buckley)
MiddleweightMISS
Roman Kopylov won by KO/TKO (R3)
Kopylov 46%54% Chirico
TOSS-UPMarket: 51% (-4.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -89(favors Chirico)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.5(favors Chirico)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Chirico)
FeatherweightHIT
William Gomis won by Decision - Majority (R3)
Gomis 70%30% Errens
CONFIDENTMarket: 67% (+3.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Errens)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Errens)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Errens)
FeatherweightMISS
Nathaniel Wood won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Wood 37%63% Jourdain
LEANMarket: 43% (-5.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +27(favors Wood)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Jourdain)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.2(favors Wood)
MiddleweightMISS
Abus Magomedov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Magomedov 48%52% Stoltzfus
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Submission Artist — All-Rounder wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: +70(favors Magomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Stoltzfus)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.6(favors Stoltzfus)
LightweightHIT
Nasrat Haqparast won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Haqparast 79%21% Makdessi
STRONGMarket: 69% (+10.0% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -101(favors Makdessi)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.8(favors Makdessi)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Makdessi)
LightweightHIT
Fares Ziam won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ziam 51%49% Figlak
TOSS-UPMarket: 35% (+15.3% edge)
→Elo gap: +25(favors Ziam)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Ziam)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Ziam)
LightweightHIT
Benoit Saint Denis won by KO/TKO (R2)
Denis 60%40% Miranda
LEAN
→Elo gap: +31(favors Denis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.5(favors Denis)
BantamweightHIT
Cristian Quinonez won by KO/TKO (R1)
Quinonez 59%41% Taha
LEAN
→Elo gap: +78(favors Quinonez)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.7(favors Taha)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Taha)
Women's FeatherweightHIT
Stephanie Egger won by Submission (R2)
Egger 61%39% Perez
LEANMarket: 70% (-8.7% edge)
Wrestler vs Wrestler — Wrestler wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +49(favors Egger)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.9(favors Egger)
→Takedown rate advantage: +3.3(favors Egger)