UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
Saturday, July 2, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
MiddleweightHIT
Israel Adesanya won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Adesanya 88%12% Cannonier
STRONGMarket: 82% (+5.5% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +175(favors Adesanya)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Cannonier)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.3(favors Cannonier)
FeatherweightHIT
Alexander Volkanovski won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Volkanovski 64%36% Holloway
LEAN
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: +186(favors Volkanovski)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Holloway)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Volkanovski)
MiddleweightMISS
Alex Pereira won by KO/TKO (R1)
Pereira 39%61% Strickland
LEANMarket: 46% (-7.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -414(favors Strickland)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Strickland)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Strickland)
WelterweightMISS
Bryan Barberena won by KO/TKO (R2)
Barberena 50%50% Lawler
TOSS-UPMarket: 50% (-0.5% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -297(favors Lawler)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Barberena)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Lawler)
Bantamweight
Munhoz 18%82% O'Malley
STRONGMarket: 27% (-8.7% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -537(favors O'Malley)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.5(favors O'Malley)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors O'Malley)
LightweightHIT
Jalin Turner won by Submission (R1)
Turner 57%43% Riddell
LEANMarket: 59% (-2.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: +130(favors Turner)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.8(favors Turner)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Riddell)
WelterweightHIT
Jim Miller won by Submission (R2)
Miller 77%23% Cerrone
STRONGMarket: 63% (+14.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +157(favors Miller)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.9(favors Cerrone)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.3(favors Miller)
WelterweightHIT
Ian Machado Garry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Garry 68%32% Green
CONFIDENT
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -38(favors Green)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.7(favors Green)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Green)
MiddleweightHIT
Dricus Du Plessis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Plessis 65%35% Tavares
CONFIDENTMarket: 62% (+3.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -65(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.8(favors Plessis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.8(favors Plessis)
MiddleweightHIT
Andre Muniz won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Muniz 58%42% Hall
LEAN
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -48(favors Hall)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.9(favors Hall)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.2(favors Muniz)
Women's FlyweightHIT
Maycee Barber won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Barber 79%21% Eye
STRONGMarket: 74% (+5.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +294(favors Barber)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Eye)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Barber)
Women's BantamweightMISS
Julija Stoliarenko won by Submission (R1)
Stoliarenko 44%56% Clark
LEANMarket: 42% (+2.1% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -234(favors Clark)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.7(favors Clark)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Clark)