UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
Saturday, May 21, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA
Model Record: 8/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
Women's BantamweightMISS
Ketlen Vieira won by Decision - Split (R5)
Vieira 49%51% Holm
TOSS-UPMarket: 33% (+16.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -151(favors Holm)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Holm)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.2(favors Holm)
WelterweightHIT
Michel Pereira won by Decision - Split (R3)
Pereira 60%40% Ponzinibbio
LEANMarket: 56% (+3.6% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -100(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.4(favors Ponzinibbio)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.9(favors Pereira)
MiddleweightHIT
Chidi Njokuani won by KO/TKO (R1)
Njokuani 63%37% Todorovic
LEAN
Striker vs Submission Artist — Striker wins 48% historically
→Elo gap: +191(favors Njokuani)
→Striking volume advantage: +35.9(favors Njokuani)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.9(favors Todorovic)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Tabatha Ricci won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Ricci 41%59% Viana
LEANMarket: 55% (-13.4% edge)
All-Rounder vs Wrestler — All-Rounder wins 42% historically
→Elo gap: -33(favors Viana)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.3(favors Viana)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.4(favors Ricci)
MiddleweightHIT
JunYong Park won by Decision - Split (R3)
Park 53%47% Anders
TOSS-UP
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -165(favors Anders)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.0(favors Park)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.8(favors Park)
MiddleweightHIT
Joseph Holmes won by Submission (R1)
Holmes 77%23% Amedovski
STRONGMarket: 65% (+11.9% edge)
→Elo gap: +141(favors Holmes)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Holmes)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Amedovski)
HeavyweightHIT
Jailton Almeida won by Submission (R1)
Almeida 79%21% Porter
STRONG
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +13(favors Almeida)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.4(favors Almeida)
→Takedown rate advantage: +8.7(favors Almeida)
LightweightHIT
Uros Medic won by KO/TKO (R2)
Medic 57%43% Morales
LEANMarket: 44% (+12.7% edge)
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +8(favors Medic)
→Striking volume advantage: +5.9(favors Medic)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.7(favors Morales)
BantamweightHIT
Jonathan Martinez won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Martinez 67%33% Morales
CONFIDENT
Striker vs Striker — Striker wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +85(favors Martinez)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Martinez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Morales)
FeatherweightHIT
Chase Hooper won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hooper 52%48% Colares
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+12.4% edge)
Submission Artist vs Wrestler — Submission Artist wins 44% historically
→Elo gap: -37(favors Colares)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.1(favors Hooper)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Colares)
Women's StrawweightMISS
Sam Hughes won by KO/TKO (R3)
Hughes 34%66% Reed
CONFIDENTMarket: 44% (-9.3% edge)
All-Rounder vs Striker — All-Rounder wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -61(favors Reed)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.1(favors Reed)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Hughes)