UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho
Saturday, September 6, 2025·Paris, Ile-de-France, France·13 fights
Model: 9/13(69%)
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Main Card
MiddleweightHIT
Nassourdine Imavov won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Imavov 56%44% Borralho
Over/UnderOver 71%
Under 29%Over 71%
LEANMarket: 45% (+11.0% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +259(favors Imavov)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Imavov)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.2(favors Imavov)
LightweightMISS
Benoit Saint Denis won by Submission (R2)
Denis 50%50% Ruffy
Over/UnderOver 56%
Under 44%Over 56%
TOSS-UPMarket: 39% (+11.1% edge)
Submission Artist vs Striker — Submission Artist wins 52% historically
→Elo gap: -70(favors Ruffy)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.1(favors Denis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +4.5(favors Denis)
Light HeavyweightHIT
Modestas Bukauskas won by KO/TKO (R1)
Bukauskas 72%28% Craig
Over/UnderUnder 51%
Under 51%Over 49%
CONFIDENTMarket: 74% (-2.2% edge)
Knockout Artist vs Wrestler — Knockout Artist wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: -60(favors Craig)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.4(favors Bukauskas)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.1(favors Craig)
LightweightHIT
Mason Jones won by KO/TKO (R2)
Jones 59%41% Oki
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
LEANMarket: 57% (+1.5% edge)
→Elo gap: +30(favors Jones)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.1(favors Oki)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.9(favors Jones)
WelterweightMISS
Axel Sola won by KO/TKO (R3)
Sola 47%53% McKee
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
TOSS-UPMarket: 56% (-9.1% edge)
→Elo gap: +64(favors Sola)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.2(favors McKee)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors McKee)
FeatherweightHIT
William Gomis won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gomis 73%27% Ruchala
Over/UnderOver 53%
Under 47%Over 53%
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+1.7% edge)
→Elo gap: +376(favors Gomis)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.5(favors Gomis)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.6(favors Gomis)
Prelims
Light HeavyweightHIT
Oumar Sy won by KO/TKO (R1)
Sy 91%9% Ribeiro
Over/UnderUnder 53%
Under 53%Over 47%
STRONGMarket: 82% (+8.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +81(favors Sy)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.9(favors Sy)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.1(favors Sy)
HeavyweightMISS
Ante Delija won by KO/TKO (R1)
Delija 45%55% Tybura
Over/UnderUnder 58%
Under 58%Over 42%
TOSS-UPMarket: 48% (-3.0% edge)
→Elo gap: -582(favors Tybura)
→Striking volume advantage: -4.0(favors Tybura)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Tybura)
LightweightHIT
Kaue Fernandes won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fernandes 76%24% Hardwick
Over/UnderOver 51%
Under 49%Over 51%
STRONGMarket: 66% (+10.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +203(favors Fernandes)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Fernandes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.3(favors Fernandes)
WelterweightHIT
Sam Patterson won by KO/TKO (R1)
Patterson 52%48% Waters
Over/UnderOver 55%
Under 45%Over 55%
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-10.8% edge)
→Elo gap: +88(favors Patterson)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.0(favors Waters)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.7(favors Patterson)
MiddleweightMISS
Robert Bryczek won by KO/TKO (R3)
Bryczek 38%62% Tavares
Over/UnderUnder 55%
Under 55%Over 45%
LEANMarket: 35% (+3.4% edge)
→Elo gap: -400(favors Tavares)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.8(favors Tavares)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Tavares)
WelterweightHIT
Rinat Fakhretdinov won by KO/TKO (R1)
Fakhretdinov 53%47% Gustafsson
Over/UnderOver 57%
Under 43%Over 57%
TOSS-UPMarket: 46% (+7.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +360(favors Fakhretdinov)
→Striking volume advantage: -1.3(favors Gustafsson)
→Takedown rate advantage: -4.3(favors Gustafsson)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Sam Hughes won by Submission (R2)
Hughes 63%37% Bannon
Over/UnderOver 68%
Under 32%Over 68%
LEANMarket: 70% (-7.3% edge)
→Elo gap: -30(favors Bannon)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.2(favors Hughes)
→Takedown rate advantage: +0.8(favors Hughes)