UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Saturday, January 22, 2022·Anaheim, California, USA
Model Record: 6/11Overall Model Accuracy: 63.4%
HeavyweightMISS
Francis Ngannou won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Ngannou 41%59% Gane
LEANMarket: 43% (-2.0% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: +291(favors Ngannou)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.9(favors Ngannou)
→Takedown rate advantage: +1.4(favors Ngannou)
FlyweightMISS
Deiveson Figueiredo won by Decision - Unanimous (R5)
Figueiredo 26%74% Moreno
CONFIDENTMarket: 37% (-10.7% edge)
Knockout Artist vs All-Rounder — Knockout Artist wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -95(favors Moreno)
→Striking volume advantage: +0.0(favors Figueiredo)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.5(favors Moreno)
WelterweightHIT
Michel Pereira won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Pereira 73%27% Fialho
CONFIDENTMarket: 72% (+1.0% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +306(favors Pereira)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.2(favors Pereira)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.1(favors Pereira)
BantamweightHIT
Said Nurmagomedov won by Submission (R1)
Nurmagomedov 52%48% Stamann
TOSS-UPMarket: 63% (-10.9% edge)
Wrestler vs Striker — Wrestler wins 49% historically
→Elo gap: +42(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Striking volume advantage: +1.3(favors Nurmagomedov)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Stamann)
WelterweightMISS
Michael Morales won by KO/TKO (R1)
Morales 41%59% Giles
LEANMarket: 49% (-8.3% edge)
Striker vs All-Rounder — Striker wins 51% historically
→Elo gap: -92(favors Giles)
→Striking volume advantage: -2.6(favors Giles)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.8(favors Giles)
BantamweightMISS
Victor Henry won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Henry 16%84% Barcelos
STRONGMarket: 19% (-2.9% edge)
All-Rounder vs All-Rounder — All-Rounder wins 50% historically
→Elo gap: -218(favors Barcelos)
→Striking volume advantage: -5.1(favors Barcelos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -1.4(favors Barcelos)
WelterweightHIT
Jack Della Maddalena won by KO/TKO (R1)
Maddalena 76%24% Rodriguez
STRONGMarket: 76% (+0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: -0(favors Rodriguez)
→Striking volume advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Rodriguez)
BantamweightHIT
Tony Gravely won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Gravely 71%29% Oliveira
CONFIDENTMarket: 71% (+0.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +6(favors Gravely)
→Striking volume advantage: +3.6(favors Gravely)
→Takedown rate advantage: +6.1(favors Gravely)
LightweightHIT
Matt Frevola won by KO/TKO (R1)
Frevola 59%41% Valdez
LEANMarket: 66% (-6.6% edge)
→Elo gap: -65(favors Valdez)
→Striking volume advantage: +2.7(favors Frevola)
→Takedown rate advantage: +2.5(favors Frevola)
Women's StrawweightHIT
Vanessa Demopoulos won by Submission (R1)
Demopoulos 57%43% Juarez
LEANMarket: 57% (-0.0% edge)
→Elo gap: +73(favors Demopoulos)
→Striking volume advantage: +4.0(favors Demopoulos)
→Takedown rate advantage: -0.0(favors Juarez)
Women's FlyweightMISS
Jasmine Jasudavicius won by Decision - Unanimous (R3)
Jasudavicius 40%60% Hansen
LEANMarket: 36% (+4.2% edge)
→Elo gap: +1(favors Jasudavicius)
→Striking volume advantage: -3.6(favors Hansen)
→Takedown rate advantage: -2.2(favors Hansen)